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August 25, 2006


Interesting numbers, although I guess nothing surprising. Thanks for the charts.

Curious once more. Just whose business is it how many children people have anyhow? And who cares?

And are we now going to have a "suggested" number of children per couple? or worse, have a law like China has about how many children a couple is allowed to have?

As far as I can see it isn't anyone's business how many children a couple has, not the politicians, not the pollsters, and not you or me. It isn't even interesting.

Of course it is possible that the respondents claimed to have voted for Carter when, in fact, they had not voted at all or voted for Reagan. I suspect Democrats feel more guilty about not voting than do Republicans.

Of course, if you think respondents are lying, it's hard to trust results in any poll, unfortunately.

Normally, everyone claims to have voted for the winner, so this Carter bias is weird. It is also normal (especially pre-election) for polls to go left of reality. I'd never heard the suggestion that it had to do with whether people voted. Why do you believe that theory, rather than that they lie about their ballots?

Exit polls solve the problem of no-shows. I imagine they make people more honest about their ballot, too.

What are the figures for average children among non-Hispanic white voters for Bush vs. Democrats in 2000 and 2004?

How did Brooks get such a strange result? Did he look at some measure of liberal vs. conservative instead of voting?

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