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May 14, 2012

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So, are they Jewish people in your opinion?

From the article:

" A major problem in combating the phenomenon is the fact that it is almost impossible to punish the thieves, either because of language limitations or lack of identification means. By the next day, those arrested are often back on the beach."

Any idea what this means?
Robert Hume

What about Ethiopian Jews? Or are they not a problem to Israelis, due to the fact that they are not goyim?

It's reasonable to say that the Israelis would vastly prefer 10,000 of these refugees to 100 Palestinians.

One would think that violent crimes and sexual assaults would get more attention than petty theft on the beach, yet the article only mentions violence and sex in the first sentence of the last paragraph. I can understand unemployed "refugees" stealing unattended items left on a public beach. The violence and sex assaults are a reflection of moral depravity, not desperation.

Why are these refugees not deported? They are not "refugees," they are trespassers.

Are they racial profiling in Israel? Doing hat checks?

Very interesting, will Israelis' "pragmatism" prevail or will they be fucked up by political correctness too?

OT: now I realize why I had such a hard time understanding last night's episode of Girls. I was obsessing too much over whether Charlie and Marnie would break up, because in real life a more or less ordinary man like Charlie would never in a quadrillion years be able to find another woman as remotely as desirable as Marnie.

How ironic would it be if Israel wanted to deport all these African immigrant criminals to an African country like say, Madagascar.

I kid of course but I am reminded of what Whiskey said: Jews are the whitest people and have long embraced race realism.

Send those refugees to the US. The jewish ACLU lawyers will defend them to gain asylum .

At least it's not violent crime. If it becomes a violent crime wave than you you will begin to see massive deportations. Petty thievery is not that big of a deal in a country dealing with problems like Israel, and might even be worth tolerating if it means maintaining a positive image with the white idiots in Europe clamoring for Israel's dismantling. Of course, a bit of police work is important too, to contain the problem. In it's history Israel has had to deal with petty crime waves all the time from its Arab population and surrounding Arabs, so they are psychologically quite prepared to handle little problems of this sort. They see it as a minor irritation of the kind they have been dealing with from Arabs for quite some time now.

Not surprising. I went to Tel Aviv a few months ago. While the main downtown near the beach is very nice, the refugees clearly stick out as an underclass. If you go south towards the bus station, you'll pass through the area with the refugees...I felt like I was in Somalia or Khartoum - looked worse than the most ghetto neighborhoods in the US.

The sad irony is that Nazi ideology poisoned linking race and IQ for generations (resulting in our PC Orwellian dialogue)...and now the Jewish state is suffering as a consequence.

You have to admire Israel for taking in refugees out of a desire to be more moral than those states that refused Jewish refugees during the Holocaust...but the sad reality of HBD is that not all refugees are equally suited for assimilation into a Western Country.

Kind of a tragedy when Israel will eventually have to deport them when they become too much of a drain on the economy.

You have to admire Israel for taking in refugees out of a desire to be more moral than those states that refused Jewish refugees during the Holocaust...but the sad reality of HBD is that not all refugees are equally suited for assimilation into a Western Country.

They aren't taking them to be more moral. The refugees are all in South Tel Aviv where the working class Sephardim and Russian immigrants live. The Ashkenazi elite lives in North Tel Aviv. The Ashkenazim support the Sudanese not out of humanitarianim but rather as a way to stick it to the "wrong kind of Jewish people".

What about Ethiopian Jews? Or are they not a problem to Israelis, due to the fact that they are not goyim?

The Ethiopians absolutely are goyim. Nobody really considers them Jews. Genetics have shown that they are converts and their version of Judaism is not real Judaism. They were brought in for purely political reasons.

Nobody minds the Ethiopians because they don't bother anybody, but Ethiopians aren't real blacks anyway like the Sudanese so that isn't surprising.

"They aren't taking them to be more moral. The refugees are all in South Tel Aviv where the working class Sephardim and Russian immigrants live. The Ashkenazi elite lives in North Tel Aviv. The Ashkenazim support the Sudanese not out of humanitarianim but rather as a way to stick it to the "wrong kind of Jewish people"."

Really? Seems like a bizarre reason to accept a large IQ underclass - to spite other Jews? Regardless, you don't see too many other non western countries taking in refugees in the numbers (on a per capita basis) like Israel.

"Really? Seems like a bizarre reason to accept a large IQ underclass - to spite other Jews? Regardless, you don't see too many other non western countries taking in refugees in the numbers (on a per capita basis) like Israel."

These refugees aren't invited in, they come up through the largely unsecured and unsecurable Egyptian border. These immigrants do not bother the Ashkenazim anymore than Hispanics bother SWPLs. If the Sudanese starting moving into the upscale Ashkenazi neighborhoods, the problem would be solved tomorrow and the Sudanese immediately shipped out.

The Israeli supreme court has essentially said that deporting the Sudanese is unconstitutional, which is amazing because Israel does not have a constitution.

"Really? Seems like a bizarre reason to accept a large IQ underclass to spite other Jews?"

Not that bizarre. The way SWPLs hate the "wrong kind of white people" is the same feeling the secular Ashkenazi left feels about religious/russian/sephardic Jews.

Clearly Israel's ugly legacy of slavery is to blame for these crimes, but some proactive social justice should sort out the systemic inequalities within a few generations.

Oh wait...

I remember reading last year that there was a proposal to send african refugees to Australia. I don't think that went anywhere though.

Australia under the Howard government actually tightened up on accepting African refugees, particularly Sudanese because of the crime issues.

Interesting how they only target beaches. More likely to encounter an unarmed Israeli.

"those states that refused Jewish refugees during the Holocaust...": there weren't any Jewish refugees during the Holocaust, at least not in any substantial numbers. The poor buggers were prisoners of a state determined to murder them all - you can't get to be a refugee under those conditions.

"At least it's not violent crime. If it becomes a violent crime wave than you you will begin to see massive deportations."


Read the last paragraph

dearieme: Actually, quite a few made it over the borders only to be deported back to Germany to die when everyone refused to take them...including the USA.

This is part of the reason Jews have this ridiculous immigration hangup.

You're missing the most interesting part. The article is in Haaretz (roughly analagous to the New York Times-except that the New York Times would never...)

"Interesting how they only target beaches. More likely to encounter an unarmed Israeli."

That's fucked up. If I was yid in Israel, I'd pack even in the shower.

Half Sigma,

Some of the posters discussed the dichotomy between the different jewish residents of Tel Aviv. As everyone in the HBD blog-o-sphere knows, verbal IQ correlates to income and wealth. Ashkenazi living in Israel have genetic verbal IQ scores of approximately 107 and Mizrahi living in Israel have genetic verbal IQ scores of about 90.

Therefore, the relevant IQ gap between these two groups of jews is GREATER than the IQ group that is seen in America between White founding stock American Christians and blacks

As you can imagine, the result is that Ashkenazi have massively greater levels of income and wealth than Mizrahi in Israel.

My understanding is that all over the world, across nearly all cultures and nearly all countries, women with IQ over 100 have low fertility, and this already low fertility is falling.

The only exception is among the more religious of the women with IQ over 100.

Indeed, this phenom doesn't get enough coverage, as far as I am concerned. If anyone can cite any city in the world where women who have IQ over 100 who are not religious have above replacement fertility, I would like to hear about it.

It seems to me that the only way to convince smarter women to have above replacement fertility levels is to provide them with a very strict religious upbringing. If a woman is not super religious, and she has an IQ over 100, typically there won't be much reproduction.

Do we see the usual pattern in Israel? Do the low IQ secular jews have much higher fertility than the high IQ secular jews - as is the pattern in the rest of the world?

"verbal IQ scores of approximately 107 and Mizrahi living in Israel have genetic verbal IQ scores of about 90."

The IQ average of Israeli Ashkenazi is 105, mostly because many Ashkenazi Jews in Israel have substantial Slavic ancestry due to the fact 1 million Ashkenazi Israelis (out of 3 million total Ashkenazi Israelis) are descended from FSU immigrants who migrated after the Iron Curtain fell.

As for Mizrahi Jews, 90 appears to be too low, although there are likely substantial variations based on which Mizrahi Jewish ethnic group you are analyzing.

For example, according to genetic studies, the Moroccan Jews appear to be direct descendents of the Spanish Jews who were expelled from Spain and who don't seem to have much admixture from the Moroccan population. The Morracan Jews cluster with Ashkenazi Jews and have European admixture of 60-66%, just like the Ashkenazi.

Moroccan Jews have a population of 500,000, out of a total Mizrahi Jewish population of 3 million, even though the Moroccan Jews are more related to European Jews than Middle Eastern Jews.

Another million or so Mizrahi Jews cluster under the "Anatolian" ethnic bloc which includes Anatolian Turks, Persians, Armenians, Azeris, Georgians, Chechens, and other Caucasian groups centered around the Caucuses mountains where the people all share a classic Armenian characteristics.

Anatolian Jews include Persian Jews, Turkish Jews, Georgian Jews, and Mountain Jews/Jews from the Central Asian mountains (not Caucuses Mountains) and number roughly 900,000 to 1 million.

These Jews should all have IQs of about 100 just like the other Anatolian ethnic groups apparently do.

Most of the Middle Eastern DNA in Ashkenazi Jews (and Moroccan/Spanish Jews) is Anatolian, not Levantine Arab.

The Jewish populations that probably perform the worst on IQ tests are likely the group of Levantine Arab Jews who most resemble the Ancient Levantine Hebrews. These Jews are the Syrain, Iraqi, and Yemenite Jews. The Yemeni Jews in particular appear to be the furthest behind the other Jewish groups in terms of cognitive ability.

However, it should be pointed out the Syrian Jews are 30% European, possibly because of gene flow with Hellenic era Jews who ultimately became modern Ashkenazi and Southern European Jewry.

"Do the low IQ secular jews have much higher fertility than the high IQ secular jews - as is the pattern in the rest of the world?"

I'm not sure, but I do know the various Israeli Orthodox Jews who have such high birthrates are overwhelmingly Ashkenazi in terms of ethnic origin, and, therefore, they should have IQ scores of 110.

"Jews have this ridiculous immigration hangup."

Jews do not support mass immigration in polls.

"Interesting how they only target beaches. More likely to encounter an unarmed Israeli."

I think the Africans are operating under the assumption Israeli beaches are more or less as unarmed like European beaches - a potentially deadly and incorrect assumption for any thieves.

Regarding "Anatolian" Jews, they all appear to look like other Anatolian ethnic groups.

Google images of billionaire, Lev Levievev (a Bukharian/Mountain Jew), Tzipi Hotovely (a Georgian Jew), and Nouriel Roubini (a Persian Jew) and you'll see they all look the various gentile Anatolian subgroups.

"Ashkenazi living in Israel have genetic verbal IQ scores of approximately 107 and Mizrahi living in Israel have genetic verbal IQ scores of about 90."

It is impossible for the Mizrachi Jews to be that stupid. The Iraqi Jews basically controlled the entire Iraqi economy before they were kicked out. Iranian Jews are extremely successful not just in Israel and America, but even in Iran. Egyptian Jews were likewise part of the elite of Egypt (which addmittedly isn't saying much) pre expulsion.

The only Jews in Israel that really do poorly are Moroccan and Yemenite Jews. In the case of the Yeminite Jews, there is a lot of arab and even black admixture so that explains that but the Morroccan Jews are a bit of a mystery. It is probably one of those things like with Hispanics where the DNA isn't that bad but the culture is so hostile to learning that is creates a bunch of mindless proles.

"Do the low IQ secular jews have much higher fertility than the high IQ secular jews"

There are no low IQ secular Jews in Israel. The only groups in Israel with low IQs are religious. The so called "traditional" working class sephardim, a low IQ group, do have slightly higher birth rates than the secular elite, which is mostly ashkenazi, but the birth rates are converging. Even the arab birth rate has collapsed.

Actually, the Mountain Jews are from the Eastern Caucuses as well as the Central Asian mountain states that end in "stan".

what does that have to do with anything?

Where is my "Girls" review?

First of all, I mean no disrespect to any group. Just because certain groups on average have low IQs doesn't mean that they are not worthy of our respect and admiration for their other fine qualities.

That being said, there are a large number of published studies of the average IQ of jews in Israel. These studies show that jewish IQ in Israel is around 94 or 95 on average. Since we all accept that the ashkenazi average 105, the mizrahi have to be substantially below 95 for the population as a while to average out to 90

We all understand that fertility among secular Americans is very much dysgenic - high IQ young women tend to go to college and move to expensive hip urban neighborhoods and have few children. See any article about Portland, San Francisco, or Manhattan.

I am simply asking whether we can observe the same pattern in Israel. Putting it another way, if you see a secular Jewish woman in Israel with four or five kids, is she likely to be one of the higher IQ women or the lower IQ women?

All over the world, low IQ secular women massively outbreed high IQ secular women. Would I see the same phenomenon in Israel?

A related issue is the impact of dense urban apartment living vs single family home living.

All over the world, if you take two random women and you stick one in to an apartment in a city and the other in to a single family house in the exurbs, the one in the exurbs will be motivated to have many many more children than her urban counterpart, even if the two women have the same IQ. Do you see the same pattern in Israel?

"Why did Israel allow them in?"

Political correctness and unwavering ideology. Jews are NOT race realists, quite the opposite. I am abhorred at what Israel did.

Arriving at the Tel Aviv bus station via sharut (a minibus that runs from Jerusalem) I couldn't believe my eyes, as I'd been all over the country but never saw this level of degradation (due to being a tourist).

They will never be able to kick them out.

People need to stop saying that borders aren't able to be secured. The border between Israel and Egypt is 150 miles. Come on.

These studies show that jewish IQ in Israel is around 94 or 95 on average

Nah. Those studies, in fact the studies of most of the countries in Lynn's book don't make sense, unless you believe the Irish really have an IQ of ~92.

The reality is we don't know exactly how high or how low the IQ of different groups in Israel are. We can, however, make some educated guesses:

1. Ashkenazi Jews: Really smart. 107 seems a reasonable guess.

2. Iraqi Jews: The second most successful group in Israel. Whenever you see a left wing sephardi, they usually turn out to be Iraqi.

3. Ethnic Russians: presumably as smart as regular Russians. Maybe a little smarter because some have Ashkenazi admixture.

4. Syrian/Lebanese/Egyptian/Iranian/Mountain Jews : they are probably similar to Italian or Greek Americans in terms of IQ.

5. Arab Christians: Again, probably the same as Italian or Greek Americans.

6. Morroccan Jews: Don't do well. Not sure if they are stupid or there is a cultural defect.

7. Yemenite Jews: large amounts of black and arab blood, not very bright

8. Arab muslims: extremely stupid. Often demonstrate psychological issues.

9. Ethiopians: are from Ethiopia, enough said.

Would I see the same phenomenon in Israel?

No. The group with the highest birth rate is the high IQ ashkenazi Haredim. The sephardic haredim also have a high birth rate but they are a smaller population and their birth rate is not quite as high.

Amongst the secular ashkenazi elite, the birth rate is above western norms and has increased recently for some unknown reason. The birth rate amongst the working class sephardim is declining slowly.

The arab birth rate has collapsed completely and will reach parity with the secular Jewish birth rate within a decade.

The ethnic Russians do not have children.

The Undiscovered Jew and Otis the Sweaty:

Mizrahi low iq (around 90) is pretty consistent with scores of - iq tests, military exams, PISA test and the Israeli SAT. The reason that Mizrahi Jews seems to be more successful outside of Israel is selective migration (especially in case of Moroccan Jews) - The elite went to USA, France and Canada and the low classes went to Israel.

TUJ you're wrong about Iraqi Jews - they are the closest to the Ashkenazim in achievements.

May I ask if there is any published source of IQ by sub group of Israeli population?

For example, can I see a table that shows me the average IQ of yemeni jews living in Israel, the average IQ of Iraqi jews living in israel, and the average IQ of Moroccan jews living in Israel?

And may I ask do you see the same reversion to the mean in Israel that you see in the USA? For example, it is well known that white Christian people in the USA have a mean IQ of 100 and Hmong people in the USA have a mean IQ of about 85.

So if two Hmong pediatricians each with an IQ of 120 marry and have children - and two white christian pediatricians each with an IQ of 120 marry and have children, what you observe is that the children of the Hmong will have much lower IQs than the children of the white chrisitans.

In the USA, IQ of the parents does not accurately predict IQ of the children, rather the IQ of the children is a function of the ethnic background of the parents as well as the IQ of the parents.

Is this phenom well known in Israel, for example, is it commented on in israel that if two high IQ Yemeni jews have children, those children will typically wind up with IQs lower than the children produced by two below average ashkenazi parents?

Are there newspapers in Isreal that explicitly accept that yemeni jews are so genetically different than Ashkenazi that no ammt of social spending will ever cause the IQs to converge even over hundreds of years?

Let me ask some other questions. If you look all over the world at high IQ, highly secular females, the Ashkenazi secular females living in Israel may have the highest fertility. There is something special in Israel that persuades high IQ secular females to reproduce. Has anyone analyzed the impact of living in a single family home in an "exurb" vs the impact of living in an apartment in an exciting city like Tel Aviv? I would guess that the high fertility high IQ females are much more likely to live in the exurbs not in central tel aviv.

Can any of the many Israelis on this board please enlighten me?

I don't really want to take sides in any of the political battles now going on in Israel. The fights between the religious jews and the secular jews, the fights between light skinned jews and dark skinned jews, the fights between the rich jews and the poor jews, the fights between the jews that want to give all the territories back to the palestinians and the jews that don't, the fights between the jews that want massive numbers of african refugees to move to Tel Aviv and the jews that don't ... the list of arguments and conflicts in Israel is overwhelming

No, all I care about is the birth rate of secular high IQ people. I'd like our esteemed Israeli peers on this blog to comment

As far as I know, the mean IQ of Ashkenazi Israelis is 103, and the mean IQ of MOST Sephardic Jews is about 100.

SOME Sephardi sub-groups score particularly low, like the Yemenis, and some probably score above 100, like the Syrians.

About 1/5 of Israel's population is Arab, with a score of about 89, and there are large groups of Ethiopian, non-Jewish Russian, and low-scoring Sephardic sub-groups dragging the mean score of Israel down to about 94, but the majority of the Jewish population is probably grouped a bit over 100.

Which begs the question - how does a country where maybe 4 million people have a mean IQ of 100-ish become a technological powerhouse?

Where do people like Chiam c and The Undiscovered Jew get those IQ statistics? Perhaps I am unaware of a global IQ database.

"Mizrahi low iq (around 90) is pretty consistent with scores of - iq tests, military exams, PISA test and the Israeli SAT"

Impossible. I need a link to believe this. Everybody knows that Iraqi Jews are smart. They wrote the Babylonian Talmud and 150,000 of them managed to dominate the entire Iraqi economy before the 1950's. They came to Israel with nothing and are now it's second most successful group.

Yemeni Jews heavily mixed with arabs, of course they are going to be dumb. The jury is out on what exactly the problem with Moroccan Jews is.

"Is this phenom well known in Israel, for example, is it commented on in israel that if two high IQ Yemeni jews have children, those children will typically wind up with IQs lower than the children produced by two below average ashkenazi parents?"

I think you are exaggerating the effect of regression to the mean. In Israel everybody accepts that Ashkenazim are the smartest although it is considered impolite to talk about. Nobody would ever talk about reducing the sephardi birth rate because nobody really cares about the ashkenazi/sephardi divide anymore; intermarriage of those 2 groups is already at 25%. What people do talk about is reducing the haredi birth rate, both of Ashkenazi and Sephardi.

"Jews have this ridiculous immigration hangup."

"Jews do not support mass immigration in polls."

I'm not concerned with polls, but with power. A disproportionate presence in academia, funding of nonprofits, the judiciary, and the media easily beat superficial polling.

"I was obsessing too much over whether Charlie and Marnie would break up, because in real life a more or less ordinary man like Charlie would never in a quadrillion years be able to find another woman as remotely as desirable as Marnie."

I was obsessing over Allison Williams's no-nudity clause.

(how about another Girls post, HS? I think the show has your readership's attention)

@JO, the average IQ may be 94 in Israel, but the standard deviation is much larger than that. Im guessing it's the disproportionate number of Ashkenazi geniuses at the right side of the bell curve doing all the tech and science wonders.

Which brings an important point: a state-run eugenics program to breed even a relatively small number of uber-geniuses can do wonders for a country that is only average in the IQ department, and bring it on the world map when it comes to science and technology. Given in-vitro fertilization and surrogate mothers, why doesn't anyone do this? Would it be such a hitlerian horror to give life to human beings more smart and productive than the average citizen will ever be?

Eugenick has a great idea
but it is even simpler than that.

If anyone reading this blog has super high IQ and super high wealth, simply offer frozen sperm, and offer to pay $50,000 in to a trust fund for each of your children. With compounding, each child will have a nice sum when he turns 18.

Most lesbians and SWPL single mother wannabees will jump at the chance to produce a child with a trust fund. This will produce massive numbers of high IQ offspring.

Simple, and available to anyone reading this with no government intervention

Someone like Bill Gates has the opportunity to have more than 100 thousand sons and daughters through this method

@Eugenick - but the Ashkenazim in Israel have been specifically tested and found to have a mean average of 103 IQ, which is not exceptionally high. While I agree that it is the Ahskenazim who are doing the tech wonders, this suggests that there is no very clear or strong link between IQ and tech innovation.

"I'm not concerned with polls, but with power. A disproportionate presence in academia, funding of nonprofits, the judiciary, and the media"

How does over representation justify painting Jewish liberals as distinct compared to gentile liberals, unless you have an irrational hatred of Jews for doing *exactly* what gentiles have been doing?

If over representation is your standard, then why don't you focus on gentile groups that overrepresented in liberalism such as gentile atheists who, like Jews, tend to be more intelligent than the gentile average? Swedes are overrepresented in feminist social engineering policy and promoting international leftist organizations like the UN, but for some reason, Swedes get a pass on this from the antisemites.

Just admit that you aren't interested in the distraction of overrepresention (which is exaggerated in the case of Jews because antisemites count fractional Jews as fully Jewish) and admit that you want to pin the blame entirely on Jews in order to excuse gentiles from their decisive support of liberalism?

Jews have contributed more to and have been overrepresented in Conservatism compared to other gentile groups such as Swedes which have contributed little, if anything, to conservatism. If overrepresentation is your standard, doesn't Jewish overrepresentation in conservative politics mean Jews run conservatism?

4.1% of births in Israel are to mothers using IVF. Most of the donated sperm and eggs used in Israeli IVF are from gentile Europeans because Israel makes it hard to import Jewish eggs and sperm due to concerns over Jewish hereditary diseases. However, assuming the gentile sperm and or eggs come from donors with above average intelligence, then Israel's IVF policy will still be a net positive in terms of improving the Israel competitiveness even if the donations aren't really coming from other Jews.

"Which brings an important point: a state-run eugenics program"

An IVF policy doesn't need to be state run. The main barrier to more widespread IVF usage among older women has been the cost and lowish effectiveness of IVF treatment. However as prices drop and IVF becomes more perfected, the procedure will become more widespread.

"Which brings an important point: a state-run eugenics program to breed even a relatively small number of uber-geniuses can do wonders for a country that is only average in the IQ department, and bring it on the world map when it comes to science and technology. Given in-vitro fertilization and surrogate mothers, why doesn't anyone do this? Would it be such a hitlerian horror to give life to human beings more smart and productive than the average citizen will ever be?"

I've never understood either the beef people have with eugenics; even on Slashdot and other supposedly nerdy websites, you have a anti-eugenics, anti-designer babies doxa which is never put into question, a bit like a religion.

I guess they think it is evil, but refusing to accelerate scientific progress and allowing the birth of children with incurable defects leads to a whole lot more injustice and suffering.

It comes undoubtedly from a Christian world view; Christians do not care about actual suffering in men, they care about conformity to the Bible.

Replying to some of Otis' remarks:

"The Ethiopians absolutely are goyim. Nobody really considers them Jews."

This is an exaggeration. Certainly people think the Ethiopians are weird, but not that they aren't Jewish. The Ethiopians themselves, btw, harbor a certain degree of hostility towards "goyim". Black nationalists they are not.

"The Israeli supreme court has essentially said that deporting the Sudanese is unconstitutional, which is amazing because Israel does not have a constitution."

Israel doesn't have a constitution, but it does have quasi-constitutional basic laws. But that's not relevant, the reason Israel can't deport the Africans is because it's against *international* law, not Israel's own laws.

"The only Jews in Israel that really do poorly are Moroccan and Yemenite Jews. In the case of the Yeminite Jews, there is a lot of arab and even black admixture so that explains that but the Morroccan Jews are a bit of a mystery."

Yemeni Jews are not really that underachieving. I don't know that they have any significant African ancestry. It's true that some genetic studies have shown them to be not as different from non-Jewish Yemenis as other Jews are compared to their host populations.

It's definitely true that Morroccan Jews have a very 'prole' culture, even compared to other non-Ashkenazi Jews.

"5. Arab Christians: Again, probably the same as Italian or Greek Americans."

Actually, Arab Christians in Israel are very smart, possibly on par with Ashkenazi Jews (the ones in Israel, not the USA).

"Amongst the secular ashkenazi elite, the birth rate is above western norms and has increased recently for some unknown reason."

I'm not sure about this. The real estate situation in Israel is terrible. There is no Sailer-style "Affordable Family Formation" for sophisticated secular urbanites in Israel. You need to go out into the sticks (and give up on the best jobs) to raise a large family.
It is possible that increasing presence of family-oriented Mizrahi Jews in the "secular" category has increased the birthrate of this group.

"The arab birth rate has collapsed completely"

Collapsed completely? No. Declining steadily, yes.

What has collapsed is the Ethiopian birthrate, which was initially (in the 90's) at Third World levels but was quickly and quietly brought down to around 3~ children per woman.

If you look all over the world at high IQ, highly secular females, the Ashkenazi secular females living in Israel may have the highest fertility. There is something special in Israel that persuades high IQ secular females to reproduce.

Being on the front lines of a demographic war will do that. Read Peter Turchin on Asabiya

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