Peter asked the question:
We always hear about NYC neighborhoods that have gotten better in recent years. Williamsburg, Bushwick, parts of Harlem ... but what are the 'hoods that are deteriorating? Surely there must be some. The only one that comes to mind is Canarsie, and that's due to horror stories I heard from a former co-worker.
Under the theory that “getting better” means that there are more whites, and “deteriorating” means fewer whites, then these are to boroughs getting better:
Manhattan (now 48% white, probably majority white by the next Census)
Brooklyn (36% white and climbing)
And the following boroughs are getting worse
Staten Island (whitest borough at 65%, but declining, NAMs increasing)
Queens (28% white and declining, but 23% Asian and increasing)
The Bronx (only 11% white and still dropping)
As far as I can tell, not a single neighborhood in Manhattan is deteriorating.
Brooklyn is more mixed. Neighborhoods getting whiter include:
Bushwick (getting whiter but still crappy)
Bedford Stuyvesant (getting whiter but still crappy)
Park Slope (started out pretty white and still getting even whiter)
But the parts of Brooklyn that are further away from Manhattan continue to deteriorate, for example:
In Queens, the neighborhood getting whiter is Long Island City (which is the part of Queens closest to Manhattan). Astoria, the second-closest neighborhood to Manhattan, is getting a little more white, and I think that the mix of whites is improving, with ethnic blue-collar whites like Archie Bunker being replaced with SWPL whites. All of the rest of Queens is getting less white. Queens loses out to Brooklyn on account of it not being as close to midtown Manhattan.
The part of the Bronx closest to midtown Manhattan, Mott Haven and Port Morris, is getting better, but I would still stay away. There's also talk about the Grand Concourse getting better, but that's hard to say. There are very few whites there.
Riverdale, which is the best part of the Bronx, appears to be declining.
In Staten Island there is serious deterioration throughout the North Shore. Even though it’s the part of Staten Island closes to Manhattan; even the part of Staten Island closes to Manhattan is pretty far from Manhattan. Staten Island is the only borough not separated from Manhattan by a river or an estuary, and it’s taking a heavy beating because of that. Maybe by the next Census, Manhattan will supplant Staten Island as the whitest borough?
AND HERE’S A MAP
Here’s a map which shows how the parts of Brooklyn and Queens bordering Manhattan have gotten substantially whiter during the last decade.
You can also see how Belt Parkway Brooklyn is getting less white.