On March 27th, I wrote:
The Supreme Court hasn’t found a major piece of economic legislation unconstitutional for violating the enumerated powers of Congress since the 1930s. And the Supreme Court today is truly conservative, not in the liberal-conservative sense, but in the sense that they don’t want to make big waves and they generally accept prior Supreme Court precedent.
So I find it hard getting excited about this when I am nearly certain the outcome will be that Obamacare is upheld.
The Arizona lawsuit was a much stronger case for the conservative side winning, so the loss for conservatives on that case presaged a loss on Obamacare.
Also, I think the Court was plain wrong on Arizona, but the Court correctly followed precedent from the 1930s and 1940s here.