As those who follow the news know, a few days ago Leon Panetta said that Iran is close to getting a nuclear weapon and that the U.S. will not allow that to happen.
Why has the Obama administration suddenly reversed itself? Here’s a theory: Obama is preparing the nation for a military strike against Iran, which will happen if Obama looks like he’s far behind in the polls to Mitt Romney. Nothing rallies support behind the current president like dropping bombs on a foreign country.
But here’s how this might backfire on Obama. Iran counterattacks against U.S. interests, and sinks some warships in the Persian Gulf. Remember that navies are sitting ducks for anti-ship missiles, and Iran has a lot of missiles purchased from our friends in China. Iran also has submarines. Iran is far more capable in this arena of warfare than Argentina which managed to sink several British ships in the 1982 Falkland Islands War. The Argentinian navy waited out the war in port after losing a ship to a torpedo fired by a British submarine.
Obama does nothing about this biggest naval defeat since Pearl Harbor, against a third world country like Iran. Obama winds up looking like the weakest President since Jimmy Carter who did nothing about the Iranians holding Americans hostage except for launching a lame rescue mission that crashed in the desert.
Of course this is all just speculation, so don’t go crying to me later if none of this happens.